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Creators/Authors contains: "Scholten, Rebecca C"

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  1. Abstract. The snow cover extent across the Northern Hemisphere has diminished, while the number of lightning ignitions and amount of burned area have increased over the last 5 decades with accelerated warming. However, the effects of earlier snow disappearance on fire are largely unknown. Here, we assessed the influence of snow disappearance timing on fire ignitions across 16 ecoregions of boreal North America. We found spatially divergent trends in earlier (later) snow disappearance, which led to an increasing (decreasing) number of ignitions for the northwestern (southeastern) ecoregions between 1980 and 2019. Similar northwest–southeast divergent trends were observed in the changing length of the snow-free season and correspondingly the fire season length. We observed increases (decreases) over northwestern (southeastern) boreal North America which coincided with a continental dipole in air temperature changes between 2001 and 2019. Earlier snow disappearance induced earlier ignitions of between 0.22 and 1.43 d earlier per day of earlier snow disappearance in all ecoregions between 2001 and 2019. Early-season ignitions (defined by the 20 % earliest fire ignitions per year) developed into significantly larger fires in 8 out of 16 ecoregions, being on average 77 % larger across the whole domain. Using a piecewise structural equation model, we found that earlier snow disappearance is a good direct proxy for earlier ignitions but may also result in a cascade of effects from earlier desiccation of fuels and favorable weather conditions that lead to earlier ignitions. This indicates that snow disappearance timing is an important trigger of land–atmosphere dynamics. Future warming and consequent changes in snow disappearance timing may contribute to further increases in western boreal fires, while it remains unclear how the number and timing of fire ignitions in eastern boreal North America may change with climate change. 
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  2. ABSTRACT Siberian boreal forests have experienced increases in fire extent and intensity in recent years, which may threaten their role as carbon (C) sinks. Larch forests (Larixspp.) cover approximately 2.6 million km2across Siberia, yet little is known about the magnitude and drivers of carbon combustion in these ecosystems. To address the paucity of field‐based estimates of fuel load and consumption in Siberian larch forests, we sampled 41 burned plots, one to two years after fire, in Cajander larch (Larix cajanderi) forests in the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia), Russia. We estimated pre‐fire carbon stocks and combustion with the objective of identifying the main drivers of carbon emissions. Pre‐fire aboveground (trees and woody debris) and belowground carbon stocks at our study plots were 3.12 ± 1.26 kg C m−2(mean ± standard deviation) and 3.50 ± 0.93 kg C m−2. We found that combustion averaged 3.20 ± 0.75 kg C m−2, of which 78% (2.49 ± 0.56 kg C m−2) stemmed from organic soil layers. These results suggest that severe fires in Cajander larch forests can result in combustion rates comparable to those observed in North American boreal forests and exceeding those previously reported for other forest types and burning conditions in Siberia. Carbon combustion was driven by both fire weather conditions and landscape variables, with pre‐fire organic soil depth being the strongest predictor across our plots. Our study highlights the need to better account for Siberian larch forest fires and their impact on the carbon balance, especially given the expected climate‐induced increase in fire extent and severity in this region. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available May 1, 2026
  3. null (Ed.)